2019年全球5G竞争报告(英文)-Analysys Mason

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_Ref:2015448-103Contents1Executivesummary12Introductionandcontextforthestudy42.1Summaryofstudyobjectivesandapproach52.2Structureofthisreport63Industrydevelopmentsand5Glaunches83.15Gtrialsandcommerciallaunches83.2Standardizationprogressanddevices164Spectrumreleasesfor5G224.1Overviewofmobilespectrumcurrentlyassignedinbenchmarkcountries224.25Gspectrumtobereleasedinbenchmarkcountries295Nationalstrategiesandplans415.1National5Gstrategiesandgovernmentaidon5Gtechnologytrials415.2Infrastructurepolicy456Comparisonof5Greadinessacrossmarkets546.1Driversof5Greadiness546.25Greadinesscomparison667Conclusions71AnnexAAbbreviationsusedinthisreportAnnexBCountrycasestudiesRef:2015448-103GlobalRaceto5G–updateCopyright©2019.AnalysysMasonLimitedhasproducedtheinformationcontainedhereinforCTIA.Theownership,useanddisclosureofthisinformationaresubjecttotheCommercialTermscontainedinthecontractbetweenAnalysysMasonLimitedandCTIA.AnalysysMasonLimitedNorthWestWing,BushHouseAldwychLondonWC2B4PJUKTel:+44(0)2073959000london@analysysmason.com–update|11ExecutivesummarySinceAnalysysMason’sfirst‘GlobalRaceto5G’reportwaspublishedinApril2018,thepaceof5Gdevelopmentshascontinuedtoberapid.Severalcountriesnowhavecommercial5Gservicesinplace(althoughlimitedtocertainsubscribers,orspecificgeographicalareasinitially).Aswedescribeinthisreport,by2020weexpecttoseearound80operatorsinmorethan40countriesworldwidehavingmade5Gservicesavailabletotheirsubscribers.5Gdeviceavailabilityisexpectedtoexpandrapidlyintheremainderof2019.Operatorsareworkingwithindustrialpartnerstodevelop5Gservicesforspecificindustries,aswellasoffering5Gmobilebroadband(offeringfasterspeedsandquickerresponsetimes)toconsumers.KeyfindingsOuroverallconclusionisthatthecountriesrankedhighestinourpreviousreportarestillpositionedas5Gleadersin2019.Inthetoptierofcountries,theUShasmoveduptoatiewithChinaastheleadingnationsinour‘5Greadiness’assessment,scoringhigherthanothernationsonmostofourmetrics.SouthKoreaandJapanfollowcloselybehindChinaandtheUS.TheUSriseintherankingreflectsdeterminedmovesbytheUSoperatorstofollowthrough5Gcommercializationcommitmentswiththelaunchof5Gservicesin2018,aidedbysignificantinfrastructurereforms(e.g.inrelationtosmall-cellsiting)inthepastyearandinitial5Gspectrumauctions.However,thereisstillmoretobedonetoensurethattheUSretainsitsleadingposition,andwehavefoundthatakeyshort-termgoalfortheUStomaintainitsleadingpositionisimprovingtheavailabilityofmid-bandspectrum.Thesecondandthirdtiersofcountriesthatwereportedonlasttimehaveexpandedtoincludealargernumberofcountriesinourlatestreport.SeveralEuropeannationsareleadingthesecondtierandcouldovertakesomeofthecountriesintheleadingtier(e.g.Japan)during2019.Theoverallplacingofcountriesisillustratedbelow.Figure1.1:Overall5Greadinessscores[Source:AnalysysMason,2019]Ref:2015448-103GlobalRaceto5G–update|2Manyoftheplanned5Gcommerciallaunchesreferredtoinourreportwillusemid-bandspectrum,particularlyinthe3GHzband.Manyofthe5Gdevicesbecomingavailablein2019areexpectedtosupportthisfrequencyrange.TheUShaspreviouslylaggedbehindothernationsintermsoftheamountofmid-bandspectrumbeingreleasedfor5Guse.WhilsttherehasbeensignificantprogressintheUSonotherimportantaspectsof5Glaunch,suchasreformofinfrastructureplanningprocedures(e.g.inrelationtosmall-cellsiting),thereisstillmoretobedonetoensurethattheUSretainsitsleadingpositionthroughbetteravailabilityofmid-bandspectrum,whichisakeyshort-termgoal.Whenourfirstreportwaspublishedin2018,weidentified5Gpre-commercialtrialsbeingunderwayintheleading5Gmarkets.Sincethen,therehasbeenrapidprogresstowardcommercialdeploymentandservicelaunch.Theearlycommerciallaunchesthatweidentifiedinlastyear’sreporthavenowoccurred,andthe5Gmarketiscontinuingtomoverapidlyfromtest/trialstolarge-scalepilotsandcommerciallaunches.Release15-compatibleRANequipmentiswidelyavailableandmore5Gsmartphonesareexpectedtoemergeduringthesecondhalfofthisyear,whichwillallowconsumerstouse5Gnetworksfrommobiledevices.Comparedtothe2018rankings,sixcountrieshaveeithermaintainedorimprovedtheirrankings,asshownbelow.Figure1.2:Overall5Greadinessscores2019,colorcodedbychangeinranking1since2018[Source:AnalysysMason,2019]Asummaryofotherconclusionsfromthestudyisasfollows:1Thisisthechangeinrankingwithinthegroupofeightcountriesthathavebeenassessedinboththe2018and2019reports.Sincethefirsteditionofthisreportwaspublishedin2018,the5Gmarkethascontinuedtodeveloprapidly,withmanyoperatorspreparingtolaunchservicesandseverallaunchesalreadyannouncedMid-bandspectrumwillbeimportantforearly5Gdeploymentsandacriticalbuildingblockfor5GservicesRef:2015448-103GlobalRaceto5G–update|3ActionsbeingtakenbySeveralcasestudiesareidentifiedinthisreporthighlightingthenationalgovernmentstoimportanceofgovernmentpoliciestoreduceoreliminateburdensonencourage5G5Gdeployment.IntheUS,federalandstatepolicymakershavebeendeploymentincludeinstrumentalineasingbarrierstosmall-celldeployment.Examplesofreformofsitingpoliciesapproachesinothermarketsinclu

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